Post tagged with economy
  • New Free Report: Inflation History – The Rise and Fall of the U.S. Dollar

    February 16th, 201104:00 PM ET
    The economic events of the past two years, and the government's response to them, have many wondering how long it will be before inflation returns — and how strong it will be. The Obama administration's new budget, released this week, projects a 2011 budget deficit of $1.6 trillion dollars and a doubling of the national debt—from $9 trillion t...
  • Well-Reasoned Forecasts

    January 20th, 201102:18 PM ET
    We normally don't spend much (if any) time discussing various forecasts for the new year. That's because we think very little of most attempts at forecasting — it mostly amounts to guessing, and that we can do without. That said, I do still read some forecasts every year. I do this not because I'm particularly interested in what the authors...
  • Why Isn't the Fed More Worried About Inflation?

    November 19th, 201008:52 AM ET
    I thought some readers might find it helpful to understand why the Fed doesn't appear to be as concerned as many commentators about the risk of future inflation. Note that I'm not writing this explanation because I necessarily think the Fed is right and its critics are wrong. This is simply to help you understand both sides of the argument a ...
  • What is Market History Telling Us?

    September 16th, 201001:58 PM ET
    Here's an interesting study from Bespoke Investment Group. They went back to 1928 looking for the six-month period where the stock market most closely resembled the six months we've just been through. Then they looked to see what the future held from that point. See their study and charts here. Particularly noteworthy is the way that 1959/60 peri...
  • Revisiting "The Coming Economic Earthquake"

    March 22nd, 201009:30 AM ET
    Echoing concerns raised by Larry Burkett in his 1994 book, The Coming Economic Earthquake, SMI Assistant Editor Joseph Slife recently wrote a "déjà vu all over again"  post about runaway government spending and debt. (Back in the day, Joseph did some of the research for the Earthquake book and produced a radio special based on it.) To ...
  • Persevering through the rough places

    February 26th, 201009:14 AM ET
    Market reversals will come. If you didn't know that before, the period from October 2007-March 2009 made it abundantly clear! Unfortunately, many investors run for the exits as bear markets unfold, and then are skittish about getting back in for fear that another drop might occur (statistics suggest many investors who bailed during '08 and ea...
  • Kansas City Fed Chief: Hyperinflation could happen here

    February 25th, 201008:08 AM ET
    I started working for Larry Burkett in 1990, about the time he was beginning work on a book called The Coming Economic Earthquake. Larry wasn't an economist. He was just an extraordinarily insightful, common-sense guy who had the uncanny ability to see around corners. Although some criticized The Coming Economic Earthquake (I think unfairly) a...
  • On Presidents' Day, financial wisdom from past presidents

    February 15th, 201012:38 PM ET
    Below are several quotes about money management from late U.S. presidents. Some quotes relate to personal financial management, others to the management of the government's finances. Some touch on both areas. First, from Kiplinger.com: George Washington: "As a very important source of strength and security, cherish public credit. One method...
  • In scary times, looking to the God who gives a "sound mind"

    February 08th, 201008:47 AM ET
    Here is an interesting tidbit from former Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson's new book, On the Brink: Inside the Race to Stop the Collapse of the Global Financial System. Back in my temporary office on the 13th floor, a jolt of fear suddenly overcame me as I thought of what lay ahead of us. Lehman was as good as dead, and AIG's problems were spi...
  • Payback time? NYT looks at the "Debt Bomb"

    December 02nd, 200910:33 AM ET
    "What a good country or a good squirrel should be doing is stashing away nuts for the winter," bond expert Bill Gross said in last Monday's New York Times. "The United States is not only not saving nuts, it's eating the ones left over from the last winter." Gross, founder of Pimco, the world's largest and most influential bond-investment firm, is ...
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